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タイトル: Combined effects of prevention and quarantine on a breakout in SIR model
著者: Kato, Fuminori
Tainaka, Kei-ichi
Sone, Shogo
Morita, Satoru
Iida, Hiroyuki
Yoshimura, Jin
掲載誌名: Scientific Reports
出版者: Nature Publishing Group
巻: 1
開始ページ: 10
出版日付: 2011-06-14
NDC: 461
抄録: Recent breakouts of several epidemics, such as flu pandemics, are serious threats to human health. The measures of protection against these epidemics are urgent issues in epidemiological studies. Prevention and quarantine are two major approaches against disease spreads. We here investigate the combined effects of these two measures of protection using the SIR model. We use site percolation for prevention and bond percolation for quarantine applying on a lattice model. We find a strong synergistic effect of prevention and quarantine under local interactions. A slight increase in protection measures is extremely effective in the initial disease spreads. Combination of the two measures is more effective than a single protection measure. Our results suggest that the protection policy against epidemics should account for both prevention and quarantine measures simultaneously.
E-ISSN: 20452322 OPAC
出版者DOI: 10.1038/srep00010   
PMID: 22355529
バージョン: publisher
出現コレクション:11. 雑誌論文・記事(Journal Article, Article, Preprint)

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Others By: Kato, Fuminori -- Tainaka, Kei-ichi (泰中, 啓一) (タイナカ, ケイイチ) (Tainaka, Keiichi) -- Sone, Shogo -- Morita, Satoru (守田, 智) (モリタ, サトル) -- Iida, Hiroyuki (飯田, 弘之) (イイダ, ヒロユキ) -- Yoshimura, Jin (吉村, 仁) (ヨシムラ, ジン)



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